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Enter trade details
ChooseCompute SL/TP
EURUSD price1.2
Pip value10000
Spread4pips
Market behaviorRandom walk
Projected trade time288x 5 Minutes
Trade directionBuy
Target win ratio0.6
Take profit1.25
Stop loss1.11
Trade setupBuy
Set stop loss at1.1865( -137 pips)
Set take profit at1.2088010151357( 86 pips)
Reward : risk1.2101656415983
Time frameM5
Expected trade time24 Hours ( 1 days)
Probability trade wins0.4800025661515
Probability trade loses0.24901636281278
Probability trade is open0.27098107103572
Estimated win ratio0.65842263771318
Estimation limits +/-1296pips
Max risk
VolatilityFullup downmean
Vol.0.00090.000900068850.000899931150.0009
Model vol0.00090.00090.00090.0009Time unit2
Index value7132880.85Time labelx 5 Minutes
Skew9.0E-51.2101656415983Mult1
mu00-2881Minutes5
mu.dt00pipsHours0.083333333333333
Days0.0034722222222222
MaximalsBS
Projected SL 1.18651.2135Probability Envelope for 65,8% Win Ratio
56,5% Probability price moves above TP line
Normalized-151537,7% Probability price moves below SL line
Abs normalized1616Labelabovebelow
a'0.376789989131580.37678998913158Time x 5 Minutes
b'0.346630961731130.34663096173113
a 0.376789989131580.37678998913158Probability of win
b0.346630961731130.34663096173113Probability of loss
P(Z<=SL)0.376789989131570.37678998913157Probability trade is open
Projected TP0.565184983697360.56518498369736Trade Outcome Probabilities
99
a0.59596008972710.5959600897271User 0
b0.556449394430240.55644939443024User TPUser SL
c9.77890570637939.77890570637931.251.11
0.00090.0009
TP9.77890570637931.20880101513571.19119898486439.778905706379386.010151357414-137
SL151.18651.21351555.555555555556100
pip gain86.01015135741486.0101513574140.00115430852260313.8173465810263E-9
pip loss-137-1370.000954508996244072.8161035723925E-9
Z = (x-mu)/s0.00115430852260313.8173465810263E-9
P(Z>=TP)0.565184983697360.565184983697360.000954508996244072.8161035723925E-9
P(Z<=SL)0.376789989131570.3767899891315755.555555555556100
(SL<=Z<=TP)0.270981071035720.270981071035720.0010433087857372.8161035723927E-9
P(win and lose)0.212956043864660.21295604386466Validation
P(win first)0.127773626318790.1277736263187911111
P(lose first)0.0851824175458630.085182417545863
p(w)0.48000256615150.4800025661515
p(l)0.249016362812780.24901636281278
p(draw)0.270981071035720.27098107103572
Win ratio0.658422637713180.65842263771318
RR1.21016564159831.2101656415983
Approx expectation-6.64743213583090.26120976272782